澳洲幸运5
热门标签

NZ’s weak retail sales raise technical recession risk

时间:1个月前   阅读:8   评论:1

在线博彩平台www.hg108.vip)是皇冠体育官网线上直营平台。在线博彩平台面向亚太地区招募代理,开放皇冠信用网代理申请、皇冠现金网代理会员开户等业务。在线博彩平台可下载皇冠官方APP,皇冠APP包括皇冠体育最新代理登录线路、皇冠体育最新会员登录线路。

GDP projection: Men working on a new residential building in Auckland. The RBNZ last week forecast 1.8% growth as it raised interest rates by a half-percentage point for a fourth straight meeting. — AP

WELLINGTON: New Zealand posted a second consecutive quarterly decline in retail sales volumes, opening up the possibility that the economy fell into a technical recession in the first half of the year.

Sales adjusted for inflation dropped 2.3% in the three months through June, confounding economists’ expectations for a 1.7% gain, government data showed yesterday. That followed a 0.9% decline in the first quarter.

The result raises the prospect of back-to-back falls in quarterly gross domestic product, the definition of recession in New Zealand. The economy shrank by 0.2% in the first quarter.

While leading indicators of exports, manufacturing and construction have been soft, no economist predicts a slump.

Indeed, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) last week forecast 1.8% growth as it raised interest rates by a half-percentage point for a fourth straight meeting.

“Much weaker than expected retail volumes highlight the risk that New Zealand was in a technical recession in the first half of 2022,” said Mark Smith, senior economist at ASB Bank in Auckland. “This is not our core view.”

,

Telegram群发消息www.tel8.vip)是一个Telegram群组分享平台。Telegram群发消息导出包括Telegram群发消息、telegram群组索引、Telegram群组导航、新加坡telegram群组、telegram中文群组、telegram群组(其他)、Telegram 美国 群组、telegram群组爬虫、电报群 科学上网、小飞机 怎么 加 群、tg群等内容。Telegram群发消息为广大电报用户提供各种电报群组/电报频道/电报机器人导航服务。

,

ASB currently expects the economy grew 0.8% in the second quarter, and will revise that view in coming weeks as more data emerges. The gross domestic product report is due on Sept 15.

Economists said that even a sharper-than-expected drop in economic growth wouldn’t deter the RBNZ from its tightening path.

The central bank last week increased the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3% and said it would continue to tighten “at pace.” It projected a peak for the OCR of 4.1% next year.

“On face value, today’s data suggest the economy may have been in a technical recession in the first half of the year,” said Miles Workman, senior economist at ANZ Bank in Wellington.

Still, “capacity pressures are so stretched that weaker-than-expected economic activity may not necessarily translate into weaker-than-expected inflation,” he said.

ANZ provisionally projects 1% growth in the second quarter, and forecasts the RBNZ will hike the OCR to 4% by the end of 2022. — Bloomberg


转载说明:本文转载自Sunbet。

上一篇:足球预测网:AmBank in good position to weather challenges

下一篇:免费足球预测:London’s empty office space hits record high

网友评论

  • 2022-09-06 00:20:44

    目前,未来科技城列入全市首批低碳园区试点,钱江经济开发区入选全市绿色低碳工业园区,百丈镇、葛巷社区等7家单位获评浙江省首批低(零)碳乡镇、村社试点和绿色低碳工厂。可以,能感觉到画风